TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says recent downgrades are killing whole industries, and they're coming at a terrible time.
You can't lose autos and aerospace. Yet that's what's happening. The devastating aerospace downgrade by Goldman yesterday had pin action galore, wrecking everything from United Tech (NYSE: UTX) (Cramer's Take) and Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH) (Cramer's Take) to BE Aerospace (NASDAQ: BEAV) (Cramer's Take). It took the whole frame down with it and made everything toxic. And it happens at a terrible time. It isn't like Honeywell (NYSE: HON) (Cramer's Take), which with a few days left in the quarter can come out defending itself. Goldman rolled a perfect strike.
Readers of this space know that my investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models that have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. And with the above in mind, Honeywell is worth a review.
Honeywell (NYSE: HON) is one of the world's leading automation / control manufacturers for heating, air conditioning, ventilation systems and a key aerospace contractor. Further, Honeywell has the diversity Wall Street likes -- in this case, business diversity within a company.
Thermostats and aircraft maintenance would seem like business lines at opposite ends of the spectrum, but they are at Honeywell's core, and they speak to the company's strength.
Analysts like HON's aerospace division (36% of revenue), which manufactures cockpit controls, power generation equipment and wheels/bakes for commercial/military aircraft. The division also makes jet engines for regional/business jet manufacturers.
Perini Corporation (NYSE: PCR) is a leading construction services company offering diversified general contracting, construction management and design/build services to private clients and public agencies in the U.S. and selected overseas locations. The firm is well know for its casino and hotel projects, but is also active in the design and construction of schools, health care facilities, entertainment facilities and sports complexes. Its civil division builds and maintains highways, subways, and airports. Clients include Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) and American Express (NYSE: AXP).
The company surprised the Street earlier in the month, when it reported Q1 EPS of 91 cents and revenues of $1.26 billion. Analysts had been expecting 87 cents and $1.27 billion. The COO cited strong contributions from the building and management services segments. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $3.50-$3.75 ($3.73 consensus), FY08 revenues to $5.5-$5.9 million ($5.16B consensus), FY09 EPS to $4.00-$4.20 ($3.85 consensus) and FY09 revenues to $7.3-$7.8 billion ($5.46B consensus).
According to this article at CNBC, industrial manufacturer Honeywell (NYSE: HON) doesn't see the current recession (or slowdown, if you believe recession is too harsh a term) hurting its plans all that much. Shareholders of the company should certainly rejoice at management's assertion that the company will still be able to deliver somewhere between $3.70 and $3.80 in earnings per share for 2008.
Reaffirmation is always a good thing in a market as tempestuous as this one has been. The question is, when you see a news item such as this, what actionable inference can you take from it? In other words, should you be looking at Honeywell? Investors should indeed perform some due diligence on the company, because based on the current price of the stock, Honeywell isn't overly pricey. Plus, the stock is really close to a 52-week high. I'm not the biggest fan of buying at 52-week highs, but for those who believe in trading via chart science, a stock near the top end of a range is oftentimes attractive since, in theory, a majority of the weak holders will be out of it by that point.
But being patient for a pullback is usually a virtue with any strong stock. And here's something else to consider. Competitor United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), which has a similar dividend yield to Honeywell, is further away from its 52-week high, but well off its 52-week low. Does that make UTX more attractive? Possibly. And Goodrich Corp. (NYSE: GR), while not having as high a dividend yield, is also not at a 52-week high. So while the reaffirmation bodes well for Honeywell, definitely kick the company's financial tires a bit before making any decision, and look around to similar companies that you might think are better values.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says lots of companies now thrive with crude up here.
Oil's not a tax on everything -- it's a tax on the consumer. That's what I come down to when I see the charts this weekend and ponder what's happening in so much of industrial America.
Company after company that I examine -- the new techs, as I call them -- actually benefit from higher oil prices. Or they can pass them on with ease, because of the worldwide demand being so strong.
Take all of the companies involved with making a Boeing (NYSE: BA) (Cramer's Take): Boeing itself, Alcoa (NYSE: AA) (Cramer's Take), Honeywell (NYSE: HON) (Cramer's Take) and Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP) (Cramer's Take) being good examples. Each of these is necessary because the new Dreamliner burns lots less fuel, and with fuel the biggest airline cost, it stands to reason that higher energy prices make the plane more desirable even at a higher price point.
Barnes Group (NYSE: B) is an international aerospace and industrial components manufacturing and distribution company. The firm operates through three divisions. Barnes Aerospace is a highly specialized manufacturer of components and assemblies used in commercial, business and military jets and industrial gas turbines. Barnes Industrial is the largest manufacturer of precision springs in North America and one of the largest makers of nitrogen gas springs in the world. Barnes Distribution is a leading provider of maintenance, repair, operating and production supplies, such as fasteners, electrical components, abrasives, adhesives and tools. Customers include General Electric (NYSE: GE), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) and United Technologies (NYSE: UTX).
The company surprised the Street last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 60 cents and revenues of $388.6 million. Analysts had been looking for 53 cents and $381.2 million. The CEO attributed success to the firm's global reach. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $2.30-$2.39 ($2.24 consensus).
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says there's some reason for caution, but no reason to get out of the market here.
There all right there. Don't you feel it? Hundreds of stocks at resistance. Hundreds have formed a nice base. The Transports and the Dow are moving in synch. The earnings period surprisingly great, with so many companies not stung by the raw costs. Three straight up weeks, with all the commodity stocks showing signs of rolling over; most at crucial "must hold" levels except for gold, which has already crashed, making the inflation case much dimmer in the eyes of the traders.
Yet, you simply can't read the papers. They are too awful. The cost to the consumers for everything from food to gasoline is humongous and going higher, according to all the food execs I had on last week. We are getting nowhere near a bottom in housing. The layoffs, while not significant in the Labor Report on Friday, sure seem endless. The two major presidential candidates from the Democratic side want to tax the oil companies into oblivion, the leaders of the last year. Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) blew the quarter. So did GE (NYSE: GE) (Cramer's Take).
Too far, too fast, based on those grim items.
To me, this is the first week since the Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) (Cramer's Take) bottom that I think seems aimless.
But perhaps there's a "split the difference" way to approach this week: options expiration.
Parker Hannifin Corporation (NYSE: PH) manufactures fluid power systems, electromechanical controls and related components. Its Industrial unit offers hydraulic systems, filters, sealing devices, pneumatic components and electromechanical instrumentation to OEMs in various production and processing industries. The firm's Aerospace segment provides hydraulic, fuel, and pneumatic systems used in commercial and military airframe and engine programs. The Climate and Industrial Controls division makes refrigeration and air conditioning systems. The company employs more than 57,000 people in 43 countries around the world. Eaton Corporation (NYSE: ETN) and Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) are competitors.
Investors were pleased last week, when the firm reported fiscal Q3 EPS of $1.49 and revenues of $3.18 billion. Analysts had been looking for $1.34 and $3 billion. Management pointed to growth in many key markets, including aerospace. The firm also guided FY08 EPS to $5.40-$5.60, versus consensus of $5.28.
The mood this week has changed sharply from the post-GE disappointment, despite weak economics still hitting the screens every morning in economic numbers. In fact, the week went much better than it was looking on Monday, and everyone remembered the old chant, "markets climb up a wall of worry." Even oil heading above the $116 per barrel isn't killing things. Here are unofficial closing levels:
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) down after reporting a net loss of $358 million on $1.5 billion in revenues. Losses were narrowed from the same quarter last year. The company also released plans to cut additional cost. If insiders want that stock to go up, they need to fire Hector Ruiz. Shares were down 1.6% at $6.09 going into the close.
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U.S. futures are up this morning despite news of another bad quarter from Citigroup (NYSE: C). The financial services giant this morning reported a Q1 loss of $5 billion, or $1.02 per share, following $12 billion in write-downs on mortgage-related securities and leveraged buyout loans. Analysts had expected better figures but the market apparently took heart that they weren't worse.
There were some good earnings reports for the bulls this morning. Dow 30 component Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) earned $1.45 per share on revenues of $11.8 billion in the first quarter, beating estimates of $1.33, and projected strong full-year revenues and earnings. The company did foresee continuing weakness in the U.S. economy but remains somewhat upbeat on prospects for the global economy.
Honeywell International Inc (NYSE: HON) said its Q1 earnings rose more than 22% on strong demand from the aviation and commercial construction sectors. Honeywell earned $643 million, or 85 cents per diluted share, compared with $526 million, or 66 cents a share, a year ago. Xerox is also due to report before the markets open.
Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported a 30% increase in Q1 profit after the close Thursday, beating expectations by more than 30 cents a share. Its revenues were up 42%, to $5.19 billion, over the same period last year. Google's shares soared 17% in an after-hours "relief rally."
Thursday markets were flat on a day of mixed earnings reports, with Merrill Lynch disappointing, but IBM beating estimates. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 1.22 points or 0.01%; the S&P 500 was up 0.85 point or 0.06%; and the Nasdaq Composite lost 8.28 points or 0.35%.
Honeywell (NYSE: HON) is expected to report Q1 EPS on April 18. Deutsche Bank says: "Reasonable valuation despite strong earnings growth potential." HON April option implied volatility is at 37, May is at 31; above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR)'s American Airlines cancelled 500 flights on Tuesday and is expected to cancel more flights Wednesday as the FAA inspects its MD-80 planes and if the airlines complies with federal rules about wiring on about 300 of its planes. MAR shares were down 2.3% in after-hours trading.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) may announce a 14- to 18-month delay of its already-delayed 787 Dreamliner according to the The Times of London, the AP reported. Seattle Post-Intelligencer puts the delay at 14 months from the original goal of first flight by the end of June, and first delivery in early 2009. Either way, the delays are much more than the 6-9 months analysts and buyers said they expected. BA shares were down 2.4% in very early premarket trading.
Motorola (NYSE: MOT) is keeping busy. After announcing it is splitting its handset and telecom equipment arms, and after settling a proxy battle with activist investor Carl Icahn, the cell phone maker on Wednesday said former AT&T Chairman and CEO David Dorman will be the non-executive chairman. He'll succeed Ed Zander, who as planned is retiring after the shareholder meeting on May 5.
With a market cap of $43 billion and lots of cash in the bank, Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON) is primed for some dealmaking, especially as valuations have fallen.
Well, the company recently struck a $1.2 billion buyout for Norcross Safety, which is a leader in the personal protection equipment industry. According to the company, the market is over $20 billion worldwide and is highly fragmented. What's more, the industry is relatively stable (primarily because of compliance as well as homeland security concerns).
Now, as a part of Honewell, Norcross should be positioned nicely to further consolidate things.
Interestingly enough, the majority owner of Norcross is Odyssey Investment Partners, which is a private equity firm. No doubt, it's a nice win for it – in light of the tough M&A environment. According to the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it looks like the firm scored a six-times-return on its investment.
U.S. futures are up this morning despite news of another bad quarter from 
Honeywell
With a market cap of $43 billion and lots of cash in the bank, 
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